Moving Averages: EMA, SMA and WMA
Moving Averages (MAs) are among most commonly used indicators in Forex. They are easy to set and easy to interpret.
Speaking simple, moving averages simply measure the average move of the price during a given time period.
It smooths out the price data, allowing to see market trends and tendencies.
How to use Moving Averages
Moving Average is a trend indicator.
Besides its obvious simple function a Moving Average has much more to tell:
In Forex moving average is used to determine:
1. Price direction - up, down or sideways.
2. Price location - trading bias: above Moving average - buy, below Moving average - sell.
3. Price momentum - the angle of the Moving average: rising angle - momentum holds, falling angle - momentum pauses or stops.
4. Price support/resistance levels.
Types of Moving Averages
SMA - Simple Moving Average - shows the average price for a given period of time.
EMA - Exponential Moving average - gives priority to most recent data, thus reacts to price changes quicker than Simple Moving Average.
WMA - Weighted Moving Average - puts emphasis on most recent data an less - on older data.
Most common settings for Moving Averages in Forex
200 EMA and 200 SMA
20 EMA and 20 SMA
10 EMA and 10 SMA
Try and test and then choose your favorite set of Moving Averages.
I attach the system that I use to detect trend changes.MA of 13 periods within RSI 10.RSI above 70 and MA crosses rsi is Sell.RSI below 30 and MA crosses rsi is buy.MA critical level at level 10 or 90 with Rsi at level 70 or 30, indicates change.I share this strategy to improve it among all.
Trading with Parabolic SAR involves the following signals: PSAR dot is above the price - downtrend.PSAR dot is below the price - uptrend. Parabolic SAR Parabolic SAR indicator is a trend indicator, which tells Forex traders about price stop-and-reverse points as well as trend direction. Its concept of usage is easy to understand from the first look. Parabolic SAR appears as a set of dotted lines, where each dot represents certain time period. When price is above Parabolic SAR dots, Forex traders should be holding Long positions only. Once Parabolic SAR dots come on top of the price - it is time to change trading positions to Short. Parabolic Sar indicator literally allows being in trade all the time. How to trade with Parabolic SAR indicator However, trading with Parabolic SAR is not that simple; not all Parabolic SAR reversal signals can be traded profitably. Let's turn to advice given by the developer of Parabolic SAR indicator - J. Welles Wilder. He suggests using Parabolic SAR, first of all, for trailing stops and finding the best exits. The way Forex traders use Parabolic SAR is by simply setting a Stop loss order at the level of the most recent SAR dot appearing on the chart. Stop is then trailed along with each new Sar dot till trend remains intact. Once Parabolic SAR indicator changes its position - SAR dots appear on the opposite side of the price - the trade is closed. Welles Wilder doesn't recommend using Parabolic SAR as a stand alone indicator. The main reason for that is: Parabolic SAR can easily create whip-saws (false signals) during periods of market consolidation. The Parabolic SAR works best during strong trending periods, which Wilder himself estimates occur roughly 30% of the time. Thus Forex traders will need other Forex indicators to identify those strong trending periods. For himself, Welles Wilder developed ADX indicator - another trend indicator - which tells what kind of trend is dominant and how strong the trend is. Upon knowing the trend and its health Forex traders can pick appropriate signals from Parabolic SAR and disregard the rest. How do you determine the trend if you don't want to use ADX. Try 50 EMA. Price readings above it would suggest an uptrend, below - downtrend. Parabolic SAR settings So, Parabolic SAR is developed to keep stop loss level moving adjusting to new prices and thus locking profits on its way. The formula of Parabolic SAR includes an "acceleration factor", which allows to react to market changes fast as the trend starts to accelerate. At the beginning, new Parabolic SAR dots are placed close together and then accelerate as the trend advances. Parabolic SAR has two variables: a step and max step. Settings recommended by W.Wilder are: a step of 0.02 and the max step of 0.2. The step sets sensitivity of Parabolic SAR indicator. If the Step is too high, Parabolic SAR becomes more sensitive and will flip back and forth more often, with lower step Parabolic SAR will become smoother. Maximum step sets a cushion between price and Parabolic SAR. The higher the max step the closer the trailing stop will be to the price. Parabolic SAR - useful tips: Tip 1:When space between Parabolic SAR dots increases significantly, it indicates that acceleration formula for SAR is already working. Thus, if you have missed out on an entry, it might be better to avoid late entries at all and rather wait for an opportunity to re-enter the trade with a help of, for example, Stochastic indicator. Tip 2:Parabolic SAR is only a mathematical interpretation of the price. Even though it helps to identify initial place for a Stop, it may not be the final or best one sometimes. Forex traders who also look at support/resistance levels, round numbers, trend line etc may find even better place for Stops to be set. Parabolic SAR indicator Formula
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